Omsk, Russian Federation
The article proposes a methodology for rapid analysis of risks of sustainable agricultural development based on statistical data from the perspective of the socio-ecological-economic approach of the agricultural sector. Methods: synthesis, statistical analysis, and comparison methods. The practice of world and domestic experience of using methods of assessment of sustainable development using development indicators is described. The author presents an analysis of the main economic indicators of agricultural production of the Omsk region, the financial results of economic activities of agricultural producers taking into account three components – economic, social, environmental. An assessment of the resilience of indicators from the point of view of signs of sustainable and unstable development of the agricultural industry is given. The article considers threats to the sustainable safe development of agriculture in the region, considering the monitoring of the economic component and the positive trend of the most growing sector of the economy. The main aspects of sustainable development of the agricultural sector of the region were considered, the relationship between the socio-ecological and economic components of sustainable development of agricultural production from the point of view of assessing the risks of sustainable development was revealed. An interpretation of the author's express analysis of the main components of the development of the agricultural sector in the Omsk region with the identification of risk zones and the threat of unstable development of the industry is presented.
regional development concept, economic development, risk assessment, agricultural production, development indicators
1. Kundius V. A., Voronkova O. Yu., Kovaleva I. V., Streltsova T. V., Galkin D. G., Petrova M. V. Socio-economic potential of ecological agriculture and ecological tourism in Altai. Barnaul: Azbuka, 2017, 156. (In Russ.)
2. Martynov K. P. Methodology of assessment of the development sustainability in the regional agrarian sector. Theory and Practice of Social Development, 2013, (8): 316-318. (In Russ.)
3. Parshukov D. V. Agriculture of the Krasnoyarsk Region under the COVID-19 pandemic factor influence: state, threats and security risks. Sotsialno-ekonomicheskii i gumanitarnyi zhurnal Krasnoiarskogo GAU, 2021, (1): 46-64. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.36718/2500-1825-2021-1-46-64
4. Uskova T. V. Management of sustainable development of the region. Vologda: ISEDT RAS, 2009, 355. (In Russ.)
5. Korchagina E. V. Sustainable development of regional socio-economic systems: methods of evaluation. Problemy sovremennoi ekonomiki, 2012, (1): 67-71. (In Russ.)
6. Gromov E. I. Socio-ecological-economic evaluation and projection methodology of sustainable development of agricultural-oriented areas. Bulletin of the Adyghe State University. Ser.: Economics, 2014, (3): 125-132. (In Russ.)
7. Shedko Yu. N. Analysis methods assessment of sustainable development of regional socio-ecological and economic systems. Sovremennye problemy nauki i obrazovaniia, 2015, (1-1). Available at: https://science-education.ru/ru/article/view?id=18729 (accessed 21 Oct 2021). (In Russ.)
8. Pirogova O. E. Environmental aspects of sustainable development in the activities of trading companies. Tekhniko-tekhnologicheskie problemy servisa, 2015, (2): 84-87. (In Russ.)
9. Semenova N. N., Ivanova I. A., Vasil'kina A. A. Sustainable development assessment of commercial banks based on the analytic hierarchy process. Finance: Theory and Practice, 2021, 25(4): 121-135. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.26794/2587-5671-2021-25-4-121-135
10. Khomiachenkova N. A. Modern aspects of monitoring the sustainable development of an industrial enterprise: methodology and practice. Ekonomicheskie issledovaniia, 2010, (2). Available at: https://www.erce.ru/internet-magazine/all_archive/18/298/ (accessed 21 Oct 2021). (In Russ.)
11. Kuznetsova E. Yu., Kuznetsov S. V. Method for assessing the sustainable development of an industrial enterprise. Vestnik UrFU. Seriia ekonomika i upravlenie, 2019, 18(2): 186-209. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.15826/vestnik.2019.18.2.010
12. Khorin A. N., Brovkin A. V. Key indicators of the report on the sustainable development of the organization. Teoreticheskaia i prikladnaia ekonomika, 2018, (1): 1-12. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.25136/2409-8647.2018.1.25288
13. Perskii Yu. K., Lepikhin V. V. Methodological approaches to the evaluation of enterprise's sustainability as an eco-socio-economic system. Natsional'nye interesy: prioritety i bezopasnost', 2014, 10(39): 14-22. (In Russ.)
14. Lapaeva M. G., Egorychev S. A. Organizational-economic model of management of sustainable development of municipalities. Vestnik Orenburgskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta, 2014, (1): 63-69. (In Russ.)
15. Bobylev S. N., Zubarevich N. In., Solovyeva S. V., Vlasov Yu. S. Sustainable development: methodology and methods of measurement. M.: Ekonomika, 2011, 358. (In Russ.)
16. Nikonova Ya. I. Sustainable development of innovative socio-ecological-economic systems: a synergistic approach. Creative economy, 2010, 4(2): 78-83. (In Russ.)
17. Naidyonova R. I. Setting up a system for managing sustainable regional growth. Rossiyskoe predprinimatelstvo, 2007, 8(8 2): 110-113. (In Russ.)
18. Allen C., Metternicht G., Wiedmann T. Initialprogress in implementing the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs): a review of evidence from countries. Sustainability Science, 2018, 13(5): 1453-1467. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0572-3
19. Lebedev V. I., Guzenko V. I., Molchanenko S. A., Molchanenko S. A., Shuvaev A. V. Modeling specialization and combination of agriculture branches. Research Journal of Pharmaceutical, Biological and Chemical Sciences, 2016, 7(6): 2303-2308.
20. Guppy L., Mehta P., Qadir M. Sustainable development goal 6: two gaps in the race for indicators. Sustainability Science, 2019, 14(2):50 1-513. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-018-0649-z
21. Kundius V. A., Rushchitskaya O. A., Rushchitskaya O. E., Kot E. M. Development prospects of agrarian science and education in the formation of digital economy. Digital agriculture - development strategy (ISPC 2019): Proc. Intern. Sci.-Prac. Conf., Ekaterinburg, 21-22 Mar 2019. Atlantis Press, 2019, 329-333. https://doi.org/10.2991/ispc-19.2019.74
22. Vasilieva N. K., Reznichenko S. M., Vasiliev V. P., Agafonova N. P. Factors and conditions economic sustainability of farm organizations in the region. Politematicheskij setevoj e'lektronny'j nauchny'j zhurnal Kubanskogo gosudarstvennogo agrarnogo universiteta (Nauchny'j zhurnal KubGAU), 2016, (121): 1633-1646. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21515/1990-4665-121-100